FantasySense Forecast · 2026 season

Week 6 Flex rankings

Projected fantasy points for every player the sportsbooks have priced this week, built from Las Vegas player props.

Week 6's last game kicks off Mon 8:15 PM ET, and gets one more update about an hour before. Week 7 projections will be posted Thursday, October 22, by 12:30 PM ET.

12.3 from Las Vegas lines  ·  12.3 FantasySense projection, where no line is posted yet

Week 6 Flex rankings, Standard scoring
#PlayerMatchupProjRecYdsTDAnytime TDFloorCeiling
1Bijan Robinson ATLRB1vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off21.93.71351.477%11.233.0
2Jonathan Taylor INDRB2vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off19.62.91181.374%8.830.7
3Christian McCaffrey SFRB3vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET19.04.61111.374%8.330.1
4Kenneth Walker KCRB4vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off17.93.21230.962%7.229.1
5James Cook III BUFRB5@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off16.61.51100.962%6.027.6
6Puka Nacua LAWR1vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off16.37.81100.959%7.023.9
7Javonte Williams DALRB6@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off16.02.7901.270%5.826.5
8Kyren Williams LARB7vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off16.02.9971.166%5.726.4
9Derrick Henry BALRB8@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off16.01.41050.961%5.726.4
10D'Andre Swift CHIRB9@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off14.52.5871.063%5.123.7
11Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEAWR2@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off14.46.91070.647%5.222.1
12Drake London ATLWR3vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off13.96.11040.645%4.621.6
13Ashton Jeanty LVRB10vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off13.63.8910.855%4.722.2
14Chuba Hubbard CARRB11@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off13.42.5940.750%4.521.9
15Brock Bowers LVTE1vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off13.36.7910.751%6.519.9
16Mike Evans SFWR4vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET13.15.4830.856%3.820.7
17Jaylen Warren PITRB12@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off12.83.7970.541%4.221.0
18CeeDee Lamb DALWR5@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off12.76.3950.542%3.420.4
19Rhamondre Stevenson NERB13vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off12.52.9820.753%4.020.7
20Christian Watson GBWR6vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off11.94.8870.542%2.719.6
21Braelon Allen NYJRB14@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off11.72.7890.539%3.819.8
22Chris Olave NOWR7@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off11.76.2900.436%2.619.5
23Emanuel Wilson SEARB15@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off11.51.7840.542%3.719.6
24Davante Adams LAWR8vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off11.34.2660.855%2.619.1
25Malik Nabers NYGWR9vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off10.95.8830.436%2.518.9
26George Kittle SFTE2vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET10.95.4720.646%4.117.4
27Nico Collins HOUWR10@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off10.85.6840.434%2.518.8
28MarShawn Lloyd GBRB16vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off10.82.0590.857%3.519.2
29George Pickens DALWR11@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off10.75.1800.537%2.518.8
30Bucky Irving TBRB17vs PITKicked offvs PITKicked off10.62.1820.435%3.319.3
31Bhayshul Tuten JAXRB18vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off10.41.9780.436%3.119.4
32Garrett Wilson NYJWR12@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off10.26.2830.328%2.318.4
33Matthew Golden GBWR13vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off10.14.9760.435%2.318.4
34Rachaad White WASRB19@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET9.92.3650.644%2.619.7
35Parker Washington JAXWR14vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off9.84.7740.434%2.318.1
36Tyler Allgeier ARIRB20@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off9.82.6670.542%2.619.7
37Trey McBride ARITE3@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off9.77.1730.434%2.916.2
38Woody Marks HOURB21@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off9.62.7670.541%2.519.7
39Tony Pollard TENRB22@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off9.61.8710.436%2.419.6
40Tetairoa McMillan CARWR15@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off9.45.1740.329%2.117.6
41Dameon Pierce PHIRB23vs CARKicked offvs CARKicked off9.11.7670.435%2.418.9
42Michael Wilson ARIWR16@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off8.85.4680.327%1.716.7
43Luther Burden III CHIWR17@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off8.74.5660.431%1.716.7
44A.J. Brown NEWR18vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off8.73.9590.537%1.716.7
45Zay Flowers BALWR19@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off8.75.3670.328%1.716.6
46Travis Kelce KCTE4vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off8.74.5580.539%1.815.2
47Isaiah Likely NYGTE5vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off8.65.4610.434%1.815.1
48Josh Downs INDWR20vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off8.54.9640.430%1.616.4
49Cam Skattebo NYGRB24vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off8.41.5530.542%2.217.7
50DeVonta Smith PHIWR21vs CARKicked offvs CARKicked off8.34.9670.323%1.516.0
51Dalton Kincaid BUFTE6@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off8.24.5600.431%1.614.9
52Jalen Coker CARWR22@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off8.24.8650.325%1.515.9
53Xavier Worthy KCWR23vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off8.14.4560.435%1.515.8
54Blake Corum LARB25vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off8.01.3540.537%2.117.0
55Quinshon Judkins CLERB26 estvs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off8.02.4630.326%2.217.8
56Tucker Kraft GBTE7vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off8.04.3570.432%1.614.8
57DK Metcalf PITWR24@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off7.84.0580.329%1.515.5
58Denzel Boston CLEWR25vs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off7.73.5590.326%1.515.3
59J.K. Dobbins DENRB27vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off7.71.0560.330%1.916.3
60Tyler Warren INDTE8 estvs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off7.55.1490.436%1.514.3
61Rome Odunze CHIWR26@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off7.33.1500.432%1.414.9
62Carnell Tate TENWR27@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off7.34.4580.222%1.414.8
63Keenan Allen INDWR28vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off7.34.8550.326%1.414.8
64Terry McLaurin WASWR29@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET7.23.7520.328%1.414.8
65Khalil Shakir BUFWR30@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off7.14.3520.327%1.414.7
66Jaleel McLaughlin CLERB28vs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off6.92.8550.223%1.414.9
67Jaylen Waddle DENWR31vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off6.94.3540.323%1.414.5
68Stefon Diggs WASWR32@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET6.84.2490.327%1.314.6
69Kendre Miller NORB29@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off6.40.9420.432%1.113.9
70Devaughn Vele NOWR33@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off6.44.2500.221%1.114.6
71Colston Loveland CHITE9@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off6.23.5420.329%1.113.8
72Germie Bernard PITWR34@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off6.24.2490.220%1.014.7
73Keon Coleman BUFWR35@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off6.13.3460.223%0.914.7
74Juwan Johnson NOTE10@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off6.04.3450.223%1.013.5
75Brian Robinson ATLRB30vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off6.01.0410.328%0.913.0
76Ladd McConkey LACWR36@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off6.03.5490.217%0.814.7
77Tre Tucker LVWR37vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off6.03.5460.221%0.814.7
78Harold Fannin Jr. CLETE11vs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off5.84.2420.325%0.913.3
79KC Concepcion CLEWR38vs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off5.84.4450.219%0.714.4
80Emeka Egbuka TBWR39vs PITKicked offvs PITKicked off5.73.7430.221%0.714.2
81Najee Harris NYGRB31vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off5.71.0430.221%0.812.3
82Wan'Dale Robinson TENWR40@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off5.64.4460.216%0.714.0
83Omarion Hampton LACRB32@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off5.61.2420.222%0.812.2
84Dallas Goedert PHITE12vs CARKicked offvs CARKicked off5.53.9420.221%0.812.7
85TreVeyon Henderson NERB33vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off5.51.3400.324%0.811.9
86Brenton Strange JAXTE13vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off5.43.9430.218%0.812.4
87Alvin Kamara NORB34@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off5.42.5400.223%0.811.8
88Tyler Higbee LATE14vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off5.23.0360.325%0.711.8
89Courtland Sutton DENWR41vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off5.23.1370.223%0.612.9
90Quentin Johnston LACWR42@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off5.22.7410.217%0.612.8
91RJ Harvey DENRB35vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off5.23.6400.219%0.711.3
92Romeo Doubs NEWR43vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off5.22.6370.223%0.512.8
93Jakobi Meyers JAXWR44vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off5.23.2400.218%0.512.7
94Ryan Flournoy DALWR45@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off5.03.2370.219%0.512.2
95Pat Freiermuth PITTE15@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off4.83.4380.216%0.710.5
96Kyle Pitts Sr. ATLTE16vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off4.83.0350.219%0.710.3
97Hunter Henry NETE17vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off4.72.7300.326%0.710.3
98Mark Andrews BALTE18@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off4.73.5320.222%0.710.3
99Pierre Strong GBRB36vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off4.72.2310.325%0.610.2
100Dalton Schultz HOUTE19@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off4.63.5350.218%0.610.3
101AJ Barner SEATE20@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off4.53.0310.221%0.610.3
102Dontayvion Wicks PHIWR46vs CARKicked offvs CARKicked off4.42.7360.113%0.311.5
103Keaton Mitchell LACRB37@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off4.42.4380.111%0.59.8
104Michael Mayer LVTE21vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off4.43.0310.219%0.510.3
105Kalif Raymond CHIWR47@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off4.32.9310.217%0.311.4
106Kendrick Bourne ARIWR48@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off4.33.1350.111%0.311.4
107Laquon Treadwell INDWR49vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off4.32.4340.113%0.311.4
108Jake Ferguson DALTE22@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off4.23.3280.221%0.410.3
109Kaelon Black SFRB38vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET4.11.0320.216%0.59.3
110Chig Okonkwo WASTE23@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET4.12.9290.219%0.410.1
111Ty Johnson BUFRB39 est@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off4.12.1330.113%0.510.4
112Roschon Johnson CHIRB40@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off4.11.3280.220%0.59.3
113Chris Godwin Jr. TBWR50vs PITKicked offvs PITKicked off3.93.3310.113%0.011.0
114Darnell Washington PITTE24@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off3.92.7280.217%0.49.7
115Cade Otton TBTE25vs PITKicked offvs PITKicked off3.83.3310.112%0.49.6
116Jahan Dotson ATLWR51vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off3.81.9280.216%0.010.7
117Darren Waller CARTE26@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off3.82.8270.217%0.49.5
118Jalen Royals KCWR52vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off3.82.2290.114%0.010.6
119Rashid Shaheed SEAWR53@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off3.82.0280.215%0.010.6
120Josh Palmer BUFWR54@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off3.71.6250.218%0.010.4
121Malachi Fields NYGWR55vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off3.71.9280.114%0.010.4
122Tyjae Spears TENRB41@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off3.72.5290.113%0.48.7
123Rico Dowdle PITRB42@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off3.61.5280.215%0.48.7
124George Holani SEARB43@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off3.61.9270.215%0.48.7
125Cooper Kupp SEAWR56@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off3.52.3260.114%0.09.9
126Kimani Vidal LACRB44@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off3.51.6280.112%0.38.7
127Marvin Harrison Jr. WR57HOU @ JAXKicked offHOU @ JAXKicked off3.51.9260.113%0.09.9
128DeMario Douglas NEWR58vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off3.42.0250.113%0.09.6
129Kayshon Boutte HOUWR59@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off3.32.0270.110%0.09.5
130Jalen Nailor LVWR60vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off3.32.2240.114%0.09.4
131Charlie Kolar LACTE27@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off3.22.4250.112%0.08.5
132Antonio Williams WASWR61@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET3.22.3240.113%0.09.3
133Evan Engram DENTE28vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off3.22.9240.112%0.08.3
134Kenyon Sadiq NYJTE29@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off3.12.4230.113%0.08.2
135Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYGRB45 estvs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off3.10.9270.19%0.28.5
136Rashod Bateman BALWR62@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off3.01.9230.112%0.08.6
137Darnell Mooney NYGWR63vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off3.01.9240.110%0.08.6
138Jalen Brooks ARIWR64@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off3.01.9240.110%0.08.6
139Justice Hill BALRB46@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off3.01.7240.110%0.28.5
140Brian Thomas Jr. JAXWR65vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off2.91.7210.113%0.08.2
141Makai Lemon PHIWR66vs CARKicked offvs CARKicked off2.92.4240.19%0.08.2
142Jaydon Blue RB47CAR @ PHIKicked offCAR @ PHIKicked off2.91.0240.110%0.28.5
143Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAXRB48vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off2.91.0210.113%0.28.5
144Mike Washington Jr. LVRB49vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off2.91.0220.113%0.28.4
145Jaylin Noel HOUWR67@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off2.71.8210.110%0.07.4
146Troy Franklin DENWR68vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off2.61.8200.110%0.07.1
147Seth McGowan INDRB50vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off2.61.0220.18%0.08.4
148Emmett Johnson KCRB51vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off2.61.2210.19%0.08.4
149CJ Donaldson NORB52@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off2.51.0170.114%0.08.3
150Jerry Jeudy CLEWR69vs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off2.51.5200.18%0.06.7
151Mo Alie-Cox INDTE30vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off2.52.0160.215%0.07.0
152Tim Patrick NYJWR70@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off2.51.6200.18%0.06.7
153Elic Ayomanor TENWR71@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off2.51.4180.111%0.06.6
154Gunnar Helm TENTE31@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off2.52.3180.111%0.07.0
155Josh Cameron JAXWR72vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off2.41.6180.19%0.06.6
156Noah Gray KCTE32vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off2.41.7170.112%0.06.8
157Omar Cooper Jr. NYJWR73@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off2.41.5170.110%0.06.6
158Eli Raridon NETE33vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off2.41.5150.113%0.06.7
159Jawhar Jordan HOURB53@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off2.31.0190.17%0.08.1
160Colby Parkinson LATE34vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off2.21.5130.114%0.06.5
161Nicholas Singleton TENRB54 est@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off2.20.6200.04%0.07.5
162Bryce Lance NOWR74@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off2.21.5160.110%0.06.5
163Xavier Hutchinson HOUWR75@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off2.21.6170.18%0.06.5
164Oronde Gadsden II LACTE35@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off2.21.7170.18%0.06.4
165Jordan James SFRB55 estvs WASMon 8:15 PM ETvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET2.20.6200.03%0.07.4
166Ted Hurst III TBWR76vs PITKicked offvs PITKicked off2.21.2150.111%0.06.4
167Cody White LVWR77vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off2.11.4160.18%0.06.4
168Dawson Knox BUFTE36@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off2.11.5140.112%0.06.2
169Calvin Ridley TENWR78@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off2.01.4150.18%0.06.3
170Mason Taylor NYJTE37@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off2.01.9160.18%0.05.8
171Cyrus Allen KCWR79vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off2.01.3150.18%0.06.3
172Efton Chism III NEWR80vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off2.01.4140.110%0.06.3
173Elijah Higgins ARITE38@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off2.01.7160.17%0.05.7
174Brycen Tremayne CARWR81@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off2.01.5160.16%0.06.3
175Ray Davis BUFRB56@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off2.01.0160.17%0.07.8
176Tyler Goodson DALRB57@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off1.91.0160.17%0.07.7
177Tommy Tremble CARTE39@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off1.91.8140.18%0.05.3
178Cole Kmet CHITE40@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off1.81.2110.112%0.05.0
179Bo Melton GBWR82vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off1.80.9100.111%0.06.1
180Ja'Kobi Lane BALWR83@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off1.81.4120.19%0.06.1
181Noah Fant NOTE41@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off1.71.5120.18%0.04.6
182Zavion Thomas CHIWR84 est@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off1.71.1140.04%0.05.9
183Zachariah Branch ATLWR85vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off1.71.4120.18%0.06.0
184Isaiah Davis NYJRB58@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off1.61.0120.17%0.07.4
185Marvin Mims Jr. DENWR86vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off1.51.3110.16%0.05.9
186Andrew Ogletree INDTE42vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off1.41.490.110%0.03.8
187Davis Allen LATE43vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off1.31.070.110%0.03.4
188KaVontae Turpin DALWR87@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off1.20.870.18%0.05.6
189Jonnu Smith GBTE44vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off1.21.070.18%0.03.0
190Foster Moreau HOUTE45@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off1.11.280.16%0.02.8
191Josh Cuevas BALTE46@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off1.10.970.15%0.02.8
192Nate Boerkircher JAXTE47vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off1.00.960.16%0.02.6
193Savion Williams GBWR88vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off0.90.840.18%0.05.3
194Lil'Jordan Humphrey DENWR89vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off0.80.860.04%0.05.2
195Tory Horton SEAWR90@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off0.80.740.16%0.05.2
196Brevyn Spann-Ford DALTE48@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off0.80.840.16%0.02.3
197Elijah Arroyo SEATE49@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off0.71.230.16%0.02.2
198Travis Hunter JAXWR91vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off0.60.640.03%0.05.0

Projected points use the scoring picked above. Dark numbers come from Las Vegas lines. Grey numbers are FantasySense's own, not the books': a stat no line priced is the usual figure for the position. A player tagged est (7 here) has no yardage line yet, so his projection, floor and ceiling are FantasySense's, from his own recent games and the books' touchdown price where there is one. The Las Vegas projection replaces it the moment his line posts. Floor and ceiling: about one week in ten a player scores less than his floor, and about one in ten more than his ceiling.

Not ranked yet

22 drafted players without a number for week 6, most drafted first: on bye, or left out by the books of a game they have priced, which usually means an injury question. Players whose lines are simply not up yet are in the table above with an early estimate, and this page updates every day from Thursday to Sunday.

Show 10 more
  • Brandon Aiyuk WR · SFNo price from the books yet, often an injury question
  • Jauan Jennings WR · MINOn bye this week
  • Malik Washington WR · MIAOn bye this week
  • Samaje Perine RB · CINOn bye this week
  • Odell Beckham Jr. WR · NYGNo price from the books yet, often an injury question
  • Greg Dulcich TE · MIAOn bye this week
  • Chris Bell WR · MIAOn bye this week
  • T.J. Hockenson TE · MINOn bye this week
  • Isaac TeSlaa WR · DETOn bye this week
  • Darius Slayton WR · NYGNo price from the books yet, often an injury question

Out

32 drafted players not playing in week 6, most drafted first: on injured reserve or another reserve list, on the exempt list, suspended or on no team's roster, out or doubtful on this week's official injury report, or ruled out by his team before the report says so. A player out last week stays here until his team files this week's report, or he practises again.

Show 20 more
  • Jonathon Brooks RB · CARInjured reserve
  • Kyle Monangai RB · CHIOut this week (thumb)
  • Jordan Mason RB · MINInjured reserve
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SFOut this week (hamstring)
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WASOut this week (groin)
  • De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SFInjured reserve
  • Jalen McMillan WR · TBInjured reserve
  • Zach Charbonnet RB · SEAPhysically unable to perform list
  • Jonah Coleman RB · DENInjured reserve
  • Isiah Pacheco RB · DETInjured reserve
  • Jordyn Tyson WR · NOInjured reserve
  • Dylan Sampson RB · CLEInjured reserve
  • Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJOut this week (finger)
  • Tank Bigsby RB · PHIInjured reserve
  • Terrance Ferguson TE · LAInjured reserve
  • Tank Dell WR · HOUInjured reserve
  • Caleb Douglas WR · MIAOut last week (ankle), no word yet this week
  • Malik Davis RB · DALInjured reserve
  • Tre' Harris WR · LACOut this week (hamstring)
  • Tyquan Thornton WR · KCInjured reserve

How the FantasySense Forecast is made

Sportsbooks post an over/under line for each player's yards and catches, and a price on whether he scores. The lines move through the week as news comes in.

I take the consensus across US sportsbooks, turn each line into an expected stat line, and score it under the scoring you pick above. A player is ranked on the books' numbers once they have posted the line his position depends on: passing yards for a quarterback, rushing yards for a running back, and receiving yards for a receiver or tight end.

The early estimate

Most yardage lines go up a day or two before kickoff, so early in the week many drafted players have only a touchdown price, or nothing yet. Rather than leave them off the table, I give each one an early estimate, marked est: his own per-game figures so far (this season first, last season at a lower weight), pulled toward what a player drafted where he was usually does. Where the books have priced his touchdown, that price scales the estimate up or down. The moment his yardage line posts, the estimate goes and the Vegas projection takes its place.

Checked on 2025, the estimate ran about 0.2 points a game less accurate than the Vegas number it stands in for, and far better than leaving the player unranked. A player the books have left out of a game they have priced is not estimated: that silence almost always means he is hurt.

Players who are known to be out are listed separately under Out: anyone on injured reserve or another reserve list, on the exempt list, suspended or on no team's roster, and anyone ruled out or doubtful on his team's official injury report for the week. Because the reports lag the news, a player whose team has already said he will miss games is added by hand, marked "per team news", through the week he is expected back. A player ruled out last week stays there until his team's next report, or until he practises again.

Floor and ceiling

The two columns on the right show a bad week and a big week. In about one week in ten, a player scores less than his floor, and in about one in ten, more than his ceiling. A floor of 0 means a scoreless week is a real possibility. Both assume he plays.

They come from how real games turned out: about 12,000 player-games from 2023 to 2025, each compared with its Vegas projection. When I checked the ranges on seasons they were not built from, about 1 player in 10 beat his ceiling, and about 1 in 10 of those with a floor above zero fell short of it.

The numbers refresh around noon Eastern every day from Thursday to Sunday, and three more times on Friday and Saturday afternoons and evenings. Every game also gets a last update in the hour before kickoff, after the teams name their inactive players, and keeps it. There is no update on Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday, apart from the one before Monday night's game, because the books have not yet posted lines for most of the coming week's games. Kickers and team defenses are not ranked yet.

Player lines: The Odds API. Schedules, rosters and injury reports: nflverse. Drafted-player list: Fantasy Football Calculator. FantasySense does not take bets or send anyone to a sportsbook.