FantasySense Forecast · 2026 season

Week 6 Flex rankings

Projected fantasy points for every player the sportsbooks have priced this week, built from Las Vegas player props.

Week 6's last game kicks off Mon 8:15 PM ET, and gets one more update about an hour before. Week 7 projections will be posted Thursday, October 22, by 12:30 PM ET.

12.3 from Las Vegas lines  ·  12.3 FantasySense projection, where no line is posted yet

Week 6 Flex rankings, PPR scoring
#PlayerMatchupProjRecYdsTDAnytime TDFloorCeiling
1Bijan Robinson ATLRB1vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off25.63.71351.477%14.336.7
2Puka Nacua LAWR1vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off24.07.81100.959%12.634.8
3Christian McCaffrey SFRB2vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET23.64.61111.374%12.334.7
4Jonathan Taylor INDRB3vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off22.42.91181.374%11.133.5
5Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEAWR2@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off21.36.91070.647%9.932.1
6Kenneth Walker KCRB4vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off21.23.21230.962%9.832.2
7Brock Bowers LVTE1vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off20.06.7910.751%10.829.4
8Drake London ATLWR3vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off20.06.11040.645%8.630.8
9CeeDee Lamb DALWR4@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off19.06.3950.542%7.629.8
10Kyren Williams LARB5vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off18.92.9971.166%8.129.6
11Javonte Williams DALRB6@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off18.72.7901.270%8.029.3
12Mike Evans SFWR5vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET18.55.4830.856%7.129.3
13James Cook III BUFRB7@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off18.11.51100.962%7.628.5
14Chris Olave NOWR6@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off17.96.2900.436%6.628.7
15Ashton Jeanty LVRB8vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off17.43.8910.855%7.227.6
16Derrick Henry BALRB9@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off17.41.41050.961%7.227.5
17D'Andre Swift CHIRB10@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off17.02.5871.063%7.027.1
18Trey McBride ARITE2@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off16.87.1730.434%7.626.2
19Christian Watson GBWR7vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off16.84.8870.542%5.827.5
20Malik Nabers NYGWR8vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off16.75.8830.436%5.827.4
21Jaylen Warren PITRB11@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off16.53.7970.541%6.626.3
22Garrett Wilson NYJWR9@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off16.46.2830.328%5.627.1
23Nico Collins HOUWR10@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off16.45.6840.434%5.627.0
24George Kittle SFTE3vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET16.35.4720.646%7.125.7
25Chuba Hubbard CARRB12@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off15.92.5940.750%6.225.6
26George Pickens DALWR11@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off15.85.1800.537%5.226.4
27Davante Adams LAWR12vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off15.54.2660.855%5.026.0
28Rhamondre Stevenson NERB13vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off15.42.9820.753%5.824.9
29Matthew Golden GBWR13vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off15.14.9760.435%4.725.5
30Parker Washington JAXWR14vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off14.64.7740.434%4.425.0
31Tetairoa McMillan CARWR15@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off14.55.1740.329%4.324.9
32Braelon Allen NYJRB14@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off14.42.7890.539%5.323.8
33Michael Wilson ARIWR16@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off14.15.4680.327%4.224.5
34Isaiah Likely NYGTE4vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off14.05.4610.434%4.823.4
35Zay Flowers BALWR17@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off14.05.3670.328%4.124.3
36Josh Downs INDWR18vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off13.54.9640.430%3.823.7
37Luther Burden III CHIWR19@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off13.34.5660.431%3.823.4
38Travis Kelce KCTE5vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off13.24.5580.539%4.322.6
39Emanuel Wilson SEARB15@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off13.21.7840.542%4.922.4
40DeVonta Smith PHIWR20vs CARKicked offvs CARKicked off13.24.9670.323%3.723.3
41Jalen Coker CARWR21@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off13.04.8650.325%3.623.2
42MarShawn Lloyd GBRB16vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off12.82.0590.857%4.421.8
43Dalton Kincaid BUFTE6@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off12.74.5600.431%4.122.2
44Bucky Irving TBRB17vs PITKicked offvs PITKicked off12.72.1820.435%4.421.7
45A.J. Brown NEWR22vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off12.63.9590.537%3.522.6
46Xavier Worthy KCWR23vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off12.54.4560.435%3.522.6
47Tyler Warren INDTE7 estvs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off12.55.1490.436%4.020.9
48Tyler Allgeier ARIRB18@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off12.42.6670.542%4.121.2
49Tucker Kraft GBTE8vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off12.34.3570.432%4.021.8
50Woody Marks HOURB19@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off12.32.7670.541%3.921.0
51Bhayshul Tuten JAXRB20vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off12.31.9780.436%3.921.0
52Rachaad White WASRB21@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET12.22.3650.644%3.820.8
53Keenan Allen INDWR24vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off12.04.8550.326%3.421.9
54DK Metcalf PITWR25@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off11.84.0580.329%3.321.7
55Carnell Tate TENWR26@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off11.74.4580.222%3.321.5
56Khalil Shakir BUFWR27@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off11.44.3520.327%3.321.2
57Tony Pollard TENRB22@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off11.31.8710.436%3.520.4
58Denzel Boston CLEWR28vs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off11.23.5590.326%3.221.0
59Jaylen Waddle DENWR29vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off11.24.3540.323%3.220.9
60Stefon Diggs WASWR30@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET11.04.2490.327%3.220.7
61Terry McLaurin WASWR31@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET10.93.7520.328%3.220.6
62Dameon Pierce PHIRB23vs CARKicked offvs CARKicked off10.91.7670.435%3.420.4
63Devaughn Vele NOWR32@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off10.64.2500.221%3.020.4
64Germie Bernard PITWR33@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off10.54.2490.220%3.020.3
65Rome Odunze CHIWR34@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off10.43.1500.432%2.920.3
66Quinshon Judkins CLERB24 estvs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off10.42.4630.326%3.421.4
67Juwan Johnson NOTE9@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off10.34.3450.223%2.819.9
68KC Concepcion CLEWR35vs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off10.24.4450.219%2.820.1
69Harold Fannin Jr. CLETE10vs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off10.14.2420.325%2.519.6
70Wan'Dale Robinson TENWR36@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off10.04.4460.216%2.720.0
71Cam Skattebo NYGRB25vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off9.91.5530.542%3.320.2
72Colston Loveland CHITE11@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off9.73.5420.329%2.119.2
73Jaleel McLaughlin CLERB26vs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off9.72.8550.223%3.219.8
74Ladd McConkey LACWR37@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off9.53.5490.217%2.519.7
75Tre Tucker LVWR38vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off9.53.5460.221%2.519.7
76Dallas Goedert PHITE12vs CARKicked offvs CARKicked off9.43.9420.221%1.818.9
77Keon Coleman BUFWR39@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off9.43.3460.223%2.419.6
78Emeka Egbuka TBWR40vs PITKicked offvs PITKicked off9.43.7430.221%2.419.6
79Blake Corum LARB27vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off9.31.3540.537%2.919.2
80Brenton Strange JAXTE13vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off9.33.9430.218%1.818.7
81RJ Harvey DENRB28vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off8.93.6400.219%2.618.4
82J.K. Dobbins DENRB29vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off8.71.0560.330%2.518.1
83Courtland Sutton DENWR41vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off8.43.1370.223%1.718.1
84Jakobi Meyers JAXWR42vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off8.43.2400.218%1.718.1
85Pat Freiermuth PITTE14@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off8.23.4380.216%2.316.3
86Ryan Flournoy DALWR43@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off8.23.2370.219%1.617.8
87Tyler Higbee LATE15vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off8.23.0360.325%2.416.2
88Mark Andrews BALTE16@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off8.23.5320.222%2.416.1
89Dalton Schultz HOUTE17@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off8.13.5350.218%2.416.1
90Alvin Kamara NORB30@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off8.02.5400.223%2.016.9
91Quentin Johnston LACWR44@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off8.02.7410.217%1.417.4
92Kyle Pitts Sr. ATLTE18vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off7.83.0350.219%2.116.1
93Romeo Doubs NEWR45vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off7.82.6370.223%1.317.1
94AJ Barner SEATE19@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off7.53.0310.221%1.916.1
95Hunter Henry NETE20vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off7.52.7300.326%1.916.1
96Jake Ferguson DALTE21@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off7.53.3280.221%1.916.1
97Michael Mayer LVTE22vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off7.43.0310.219%1.916.1
98Kendrick Bourne ARIWR46@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off7.43.1350.111%1.116.7
99Kendre Miller NORB31@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off7.30.9420.432%1.715.6
100Chris Godwin Jr. TBWR47vs PITKicked offvs PITKicked off7.23.3310.113%1.016.5
101Kalif Raymond CHIWR48@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off7.22.9310.217%0.916.4
102Cade Otton TBTE23vs PITKicked offvs PITKicked off7.13.3310.112%1.616.1
103Dontayvion Wicks PHIWR49vs CARKicked offvs CARKicked off7.12.7360.113%0.916.3
104Chig Okonkwo WASTE24@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET7.02.9290.219%1.516.0
105Brian Robinson ATLRB32vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off7.01.0410.328%1.614.9
106Omarion Hampton LACRB33@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off6.81.2420.222%1.614.6
107Pierre Strong GBRB34vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off6.82.2310.325%1.514.6
108Keaton Mitchell LACRB35@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off6.82.4380.111%1.514.5
109TreVeyon Henderson NERB36vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off6.71.3400.324%1.514.4
110Laquon Treadwell INDWR50vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off6.72.4340.113%0.015.8
111Najee Harris NYGRB37vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off6.71.0430.221%1.514.3
112Darnell Washington PITTE25@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off6.62.7280.217%1.414.4
113Darren Waller CARTE26@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off6.62.8270.217%1.414.3
114Ty Johnson BUFRB38 est@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off6.22.1330.113%0.813.5
115Tyjae Spears TENRB39@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off6.22.5290.113%1.313.2
116Evan Engram DENTE27vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off6.02.9240.112%1.012.8
117Jalen Royals KCWR51vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off6.02.2290.114%0.014.7
118Cooper Kupp SEAWR52@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off5.82.3260.114%0.014.3
119Rashid Shaheed SEAWR53@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off5.82.0280.215%0.014.3
120Jahan Dotson ATLWR54vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off5.81.9280.216%0.014.2
121Malachi Fields NYGWR55vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off5.61.9280.114%0.013.9
122Charlie Kolar LACTE28@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off5.62.4250.112%0.012.4
123Antonio Williams WASWR56@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET5.52.3240.113%0.013.7
124Kenyon Sadiq NYJTE29@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off5.52.4230.113%0.012.3
125Jalen Nailor LVWR57vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off5.52.2240.114%0.013.6
126George Holani SEARB40@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off5.41.9270.215%0.911.7
127Roschon Johnson CHIRB41@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off5.41.3280.220%0.911.6
128Marvin Harrison Jr. WR58HOU @ JAXKicked offHOU @ JAXKicked off5.41.9260.113%0.013.4
129DeMario Douglas NEWR59vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off5.32.0250.113%0.013.4
130Kayshon Boutte HOUWR60@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off5.32.0270.110%0.013.4
131Josh Palmer BUFWR61@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off5.31.6250.218%0.013.3
132Makai Lemon PHIWR62vs CARKicked offvs CARKicked off5.32.4240.19%0.013.3
133Rico Dowdle PITRB42@ TBKicked off@ TBKicked off5.21.5280.215%0.811.1
134Kaelon Black SFRB43vs WASMon 8:15 PM ETvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET5.21.0320.216%0.711.0
135Kimani Vidal LACRB44@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off5.11.6280.112%0.710.9
136Rashod Bateman BALWR63@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off5.01.9230.112%0.012.2
137Darnell Mooney NYGWR64vs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off4.91.9240.110%0.012.1
138Jalen Brooks ARIWR65@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off4.91.9240.110%0.012.0
139Gunnar Helm TENTE30@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off4.82.3180.111%0.011.3
140Justice Hill BALRB45@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off4.71.7240.110%0.510.5
141Brian Thomas Jr. JAXWR66vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off4.61.7210.113%0.011.1
142Jaylin Noel HOUWR67@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off4.51.8210.110%0.010.5
143Mo Alie-Cox INDTE31vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off4.52.0160.215%0.010.7
144Troy Franklin DENWR68vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off4.41.8200.110%0.010.3
145Noah Gray KCTE32vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off4.11.7170.112%0.09.9
146Tim Patrick NYJWR69@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off4.11.6200.18%0.09.2
147Josh Cameron JAXWR70vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off4.01.6180.19%0.09.1
148Jerry Jeudy CLEWR71vs BALKicked offvs BALKicked off4.01.5200.18%0.09.1
149Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYGRB46 estvs NOKicked offvs NOKicked off4.00.9270.19%0.410.6
150Jaydon Blue RB47CAR @ PHIKicked offCAR @ PHIKicked off3.91.0240.110%0.210.2
151Mason Taylor NYJTE33@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off3.91.9160.18%0.09.6
152Oronde Gadsden II LACTE34@ KCKicked off@ KCKicked off3.91.7170.18%0.09.6
153Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAXRB48vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off3.91.0210.113%0.210.2
154Eli Raridon NETE35vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off3.91.5150.113%0.09.6
155Elic Ayomanor TENWR72@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off3.91.4180.111%0.09.0
156Mike Washington Jr. LVRB49vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off3.91.0220.113%0.210.2
157Omar Cooper Jr. NYJWR73@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off3.91.5170.110%0.09.0
158Emmett Johnson KCRB50vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off3.81.2210.19%0.210.2
159Xavier Hutchinson HOUWR74@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off3.81.6170.18%0.09.0
160Colby Parkinson LATE36vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off3.81.5130.114%0.09.3
161Bryce Lance NOWR75@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off3.71.5160.110%0.08.9
162Elijah Higgins ARITE37@ LAKicked off@ LAKicked off3.71.7160.17%0.09.2
163Tommy Tremble CARTE38@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off3.71.8140.18%0.09.1
164Dawson Knox BUFTE39@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off3.61.5140.112%0.09.1
165Seth McGowan INDRB51vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off3.61.0220.18%0.110.1
166CJ Donaldson NORB52@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off3.61.0170.114%0.110.0
167Cody White LVWR76vs BUFKicked offvs BUFKicked off3.51.4160.18%0.08.7
168Brycen Tremayne CARWR77@ PHIKicked off@ PHIKicked off3.51.5160.16%0.08.7
169Efton Chism III NEWR78vs NYJKicked offvs NYJKicked off3.51.4140.110%0.08.7
170Ted Hurst III TBWR79vs PITKicked offvs PITKicked off3.41.2150.111%0.08.7
171Calvin Ridley TENWR80@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off3.41.4150.18%0.08.6
172Cyrus Allen KCWR81vs LACKicked offvs LACKicked off3.31.3150.18%0.08.6
173Jawhar Jordan HOURB53@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off3.31.0190.17%0.09.8
174Noah Fant NOTE40@ NYGKicked off@ NYGKicked off3.21.5120.18%0.08.3
175Ja'Kobi Lane BALWR82@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off3.21.4120.19%0.08.5
176Zachariah Branch ATLWR83vs CHIKicked offvs CHIKicked off3.11.4120.18%0.08.4
177Cole Kmet CHITE41@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off3.11.2110.112%0.08.1
178Ray Davis BUFRB54@ LVKicked off@ LVKicked off3.01.0160.17%0.09.4
179Tyler Goodson DALRB55@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off3.01.0160.17%0.09.4
180Nicholas Singleton TENRB56 est@ INDKicked off@ INDKicked off2.90.6200.04%0.09.2
181Andrew Ogletree INDTE42vs TENKicked offvs TENKicked off2.81.490.110%0.07.6
182Zavion Thomas CHIWR84 est@ ATLKicked off@ ATLKicked off2.81.1140.04%0.09.0
183Marvin Mims Jr. DENWR85vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off2.81.3110.16%0.08.2
184Jordan James SFRB57 estvs WASMon 8:15 PM ETvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET2.80.6200.03%0.09.2
185Bo Melton GBWR86vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off2.60.9100.111%0.08.0
186Isaiah Davis NYJRB58@ NEKicked off@ NEKicked off2.61.0120.17%0.09.1
187Foster Moreau HOUTE43@ JAXKicked off@ JAXKicked off2.31.280.16%0.06.0
188Davis Allen LATE44vs ARIKicked offvs ARIKicked off2.21.070.110%0.05.9
189Jonnu Smith GBTE45vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off2.11.070.18%0.05.6
190KaVontae Turpin DALWR87@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off2.10.870.18%0.07.4
191Josh Cuevas BALTE46@ CLEKicked off@ CLEKicked off2.00.970.15%0.05.3
192Nate Boerkircher JAXTE47vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off1.90.960.16%0.05.1
193Elijah Arroyo SEATE48@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off1.81.230.16%0.05.1
194Savion Williams GBWR88vs DALKicked offvs DALKicked off1.70.840.18%0.07.0
195Lil'Jordan Humphrey DENWR89vs SEAKicked offvs SEAKicked off1.60.860.04%0.07.0
196Brevyn Spann-Ford DALTE49@ GBKicked off@ GBKicked off1.50.840.16%0.04.8
197Tory Horton SEAWR90@ DENKicked off@ DENKicked off1.50.740.16%0.06.9
198Travis Hunter JAXWR91vs HOUKicked offvs HOUKicked off1.20.640.03%0.06.5

Projected points use the scoring picked above. Dark numbers come from Las Vegas lines. Grey numbers are FantasySense's own, not the books': a stat no line priced is the usual figure for the position. A player tagged est (7 here) has no yardage line yet, so his projection, floor and ceiling are FantasySense's, from his own recent games and the books' touchdown price where there is one. The Las Vegas projection replaces it the moment his line posts. Floor and ceiling: about one week in ten a player scores less than his floor, and about one in ten more than his ceiling.

Not ranked yet

22 drafted players without a number for week 6, most drafted first: on bye, or left out by the books of a game they have priced, which usually means an injury question. Players whose lines are simply not up yet are in the table above with an early estimate, and this page updates every day from Thursday to Sunday.

Show 10 more
  • Brandon Aiyuk WR · SFNo price from the books yet, often an injury question
  • Jauan Jennings WR · MINOn bye this week
  • Malik Washington WR · MIAOn bye this week
  • Samaje Perine RB · CINOn bye this week
  • Odell Beckham Jr. WR · NYGNo price from the books yet, often an injury question
  • Greg Dulcich TE · MIAOn bye this week
  • Chris Bell WR · MIAOn bye this week
  • T.J. Hockenson TE · MINOn bye this week
  • Isaac TeSlaa WR · DETOn bye this week
  • Darius Slayton WR · NYGNo price from the books yet, often an injury question

Out

32 drafted players not playing in week 6, most drafted first: on injured reserve or another reserve list, on the exempt list, suspended or on no team's roster, out or doubtful on this week's official injury report, or ruled out by his team before the report says so. A player out last week stays here until his team files this week's report, or he practises again.

Show 20 more
  • Jonathon Brooks RB · CARInjured reserve
  • Kyle Monangai RB · CHIOut this week (thumb)
  • Jordan Mason RB · MINInjured reserve
  • Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SFOut this week (hamstring)
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WASOut this week (groin)
  • De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SFInjured reserve
  • Jalen McMillan WR · TBInjured reserve
  • Zach Charbonnet RB · SEAPhysically unable to perform list
  • Jonah Coleman RB · DENInjured reserve
  • Isiah Pacheco RB · DETInjured reserve
  • Jordyn Tyson WR · NOInjured reserve
  • Dylan Sampson RB · CLEInjured reserve
  • Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJOut this week (finger)
  • Tank Bigsby RB · PHIInjured reserve
  • Terrance Ferguson TE · LAInjured reserve
  • Tank Dell WR · HOUInjured reserve
  • Caleb Douglas WR · MIAOut last week (ankle), no word yet this week
  • Malik Davis RB · DALInjured reserve
  • Tre' Harris WR · LACOut this week (hamstring)
  • Tyquan Thornton WR · KCInjured reserve

How the FantasySense Forecast is made

Sportsbooks post an over/under line for each player's yards and catches, and a price on whether he scores. The lines move through the week as news comes in.

I take the consensus across US sportsbooks, turn each line into an expected stat line, and score it under the scoring you pick above. A player is ranked on the books' numbers once they have posted the line his position depends on: passing yards for a quarterback, rushing yards for a running back, and receiving yards for a receiver or tight end.

The early estimate

Most yardage lines go up a day or two before kickoff, so early in the week many drafted players have only a touchdown price, or nothing yet. Rather than leave them off the table, I give each one an early estimate, marked est: his own per-game figures so far (this season first, last season at a lower weight), pulled toward what a player drafted where he was usually does. Where the books have priced his touchdown, that price scales the estimate up or down. The moment his yardage line posts, the estimate goes and the Vegas projection takes its place.

Checked on 2025, the estimate ran about 0.2 points a game less accurate than the Vegas number it stands in for, and far better than leaving the player unranked. A player the books have left out of a game they have priced is not estimated: that silence almost always means he is hurt.

Players who are known to be out are listed separately under Out: anyone on injured reserve or another reserve list, on the exempt list, suspended or on no team's roster, and anyone ruled out or doubtful on his team's official injury report for the week. Because the reports lag the news, a player whose team has already said he will miss games is added by hand, marked "per team news", through the week he is expected back. A player ruled out last week stays there until his team's next report, or until he practises again.

Floor and ceiling

The two columns on the right show a bad week and a big week. In about one week in ten, a player scores less than his floor, and in about one in ten, more than his ceiling. A floor of 0 means a scoreless week is a real possibility. Both assume he plays.

They come from how real games turned out: about 12,000 player-games from 2023 to 2025, each compared with its Vegas projection. When I checked the ranges on seasons they were not built from, about 1 player in 10 beat his ceiling, and about 1 in 10 of those with a floor above zero fell short of it.

The numbers refresh around noon Eastern every day from Thursday to Sunday, and three more times on Friday and Saturday afternoons and evenings. Every game also gets a last update in the hour before kickoff, after the teams name their inactive players, and keeps it. There is no update on Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday, apart from the one before Monday night's game, because the books have not yet posted lines for most of the coming week's games. Kickers and team defenses are not ranked yet.

Player lines: The Odds API. Schedules, rosters and injury reports: nflverse. Drafted-player list: Fantasy Football Calculator. FantasySense does not take bets or send anyone to a sportsbook.