Everyone can access the same expert rankings. Your biggest edge is what decisions you make while on the clock.
Nobody beats the market on projections anymore. I analyzed Expert Consensus Rankings from past years — if "ECR" were in the rankings as its own analyst, it would have finished in the top quarter of analysts in four of the last five seasons, and only 6 of 172 analysts beat it in four or more of those seasons. Some form of ECR is on every site you read, and your league-mates are reading it too (except maybe that guy who's drafting 3 TEs, 2 kickers, and 2 D/ST). While there are some good draft tools out there to help you while you're on the clock, they're typically either expensive or lead to suboptimal results (I've researched this and plan to publish it next draft season).
FantasySense's first goal is to fix that — provide a great draft tool and set of in-season tools to help you win your league. It's built on my own draft and season simulator — software that simulates the rest of your draft hundreds of times while you're on the clock so you can see who's likely to be available next time you pick. What's more, it can even take your league's history into account — so it knows that your league's Taco is likely to draft another TE even though he already has Harold Fannin and Kyle Pitts.
The FantasySense Forecast, on the front page, ranks this week's quarterbacks, running backs, receivers and tight ends by the points Las Vegas player props project for them, with a floor and a ceiling for each, in PPR, half PPR or standard scoring. It updates as the sportsbooks post and move their lines.
StartSense tells you who to start each week, from the betting lines Las Vegas sportsbooks post, and the odds that call is right. Those odds are checked against how real weeks turned out, and when two players are close enough to be a coin flip, it says so.
Rate My Team — your roster, in your league’s format, played through a thousand simulated seasons for a grade, your playoff odds and your championship odds — is off the site for now since the draft season is over. It will be back. The articles are up in the meantime, and they are where the reasoning behind it lives.
Two more tools are being built. Neither is on the site yet, and each is being tested against real past seasons first, like everything else here.
DraftSense: Practice drafts against a room that behaves like a real one, showing the cost of every decision while you are making it: which tier is about to break, the odds your target survives to your next pick, and what you give up by waiting. The tool also works seamlessly during your real draft. It is aimed at the 2027 draft season.
WaiverSense: the waiver wire, week by week: which pickups are worth a claim, what to bid, and when the right move is to do nothing. In the replayed seasons, chasing whoever scored big last week cost teams wins, and WaiverSense is built to keep you from doing it.
Every claim comes out of the simulator, replayed against seasons that actually happened. Two numbers give the shape of it:
Sixteen seasons. Strategies are replayed against what really happened, 2010 through 2025. A rule that only works in one season is not a rule.
2,000+ real drafts. The simulated draft rooms are calibrated on how real drafters behave, so players come off the board roughly where real rooms take them — not where a platform's autopick bot would.
Results are reported with confidence intervals, and when a popular idea turns out to be worth nothing, that gets published too. The write-ups live in Articles.
FantasySense is being built by one person who got tired of paying for expensive customized recommendations / rankings and numbers that didn't reflect the reality of what he saw in his leagues. It is not a media company and it does not sell rankings.
Questions, corrections, or an argument with one of the numbers above: hello@fantasysense.app. A correction with a reason attached is genuinely welcome — that is the point of publishing the method.
Average draft position from Fantasy Football Calculator. Play-by-play and weekly scoring from the public nflverse data. Both are public sources; no fantasy platform is scraped, and no account of yours is ever connected.