FantasySense Forecast · 2026 season
Projected fantasy points for every player the sportsbooks have priced this week, built from Las Vegas player props.
Updated Sun Oct 18, 7:05 PM ET · lines for 14 of 14 games
Week 6's last game kicks off Mon 8:15 PM ET, and gets one more update about an hour before. Week 7 projections will be posted Thursday, October 22, by 12:30 PM ET.
12.3 from Las Vegas lines · 12.3 FantasySense projection, where no line is posted yet
| # | Player | Matchup | Proj | Rec | Rec yds | TD | Anytime TD | Floor | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puka Nacua LAvs ARIKicked off | vs ARIKicked off | 24.0 | 7.8 | 107 | 0.9 | 59% | 12.6 | 34.8 |
| 2 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA@ DENKicked off | @ DENKicked off | 21.3 | 6.9 | 106 | 0.6 | 47% | 9.9 | 32.1 |
| 3 | Drake London ATLvs CHIKicked off | vs CHIKicked off | 20.0 | 6.1 | 103 | 0.6 | 45% | 8.6 | 30.8 |
| 4 | CeeDee Lamb DAL@ GBKicked off | @ GBKicked off | 19.0 | 6.3 | 94 | 0.5 | 42% | 7.6 | 29.8 |
| 5 | Mike Evans SFvs WASMon 8:15 PM ET | vs WASMon 8:15 PM ET | 18.5 | 5.4 | 82 | 0.8 | 56% | 7.1 | 29.3 |
| 6 | Chris Olave NO@ NYGKicked off | @ NYGKicked off | 17.9 | 6.2 | 90 | 0.4 | 36% | 6.6 | 28.7 |
| 7 | Christian Watson GBvs DALKicked off | vs DALKicked off | 16.8 | 4.8 | 86 | 0.5 | 42% | 5.8 | 27.5 |
| 8 | Malik Nabers NYGvs NOKicked off | vs NOKicked off | 16.7 | 5.8 | 83 | 0.4 | 36% | 5.8 | 27.4 |
| 9 | Garrett Wilson NYJ@ NEKicked off | @ NEKicked off | 16.4 | 6.2 | 82 | 0.3 | 28% | 5.6 | 27.1 |
| 10 | Nico Collins HOU@ JAXKicked off | @ JAXKicked off | 16.4 | 5.6 | 83 | 0.4 | 34% | 5.6 | 27.0 |
| 11 | George Pickens DAL@ GBKicked off | @ GBKicked off | 15.8 | 5.1 | 79 | 0.5 | 37% | 5.2 | 26.4 |
| 12 | Davante Adams LAvs ARIKicked off | vs ARIKicked off | 15.5 | 4.2 | 65 | 0.8 | 55% | 5.0 | 26.0 |
| 13 | Matthew Golden GBvs DALKicked off | vs DALKicked off | 15.1 | 4.9 | 75 | 0.4 | 35% | 4.7 | 25.5 |
| 14 | Parker Washington JAXvs HOUKicked off | vs HOUKicked off | 14.6 | 4.7 | 73 | 0.4 | 34% | 4.4 | 25.0 |
| 15 | Tetairoa McMillan CAR@ PHIKicked off | @ PHIKicked off | 14.5 | 5.1 | 73 | 0.3 | 29% | 4.3 | 24.9 |
| 16 | Michael Wilson ARI@ LAKicked off | @ LAKicked off | 14.1 | 5.4 | 68 | 0.3 | 27% | 4.2 | 24.5 |
| 17 | Zay Flowers BAL@ CLEKicked off | @ CLEKicked off | 14.0 | 5.3 | 66 | 0.3 | 28% | 4.1 | 24.3 |
| 18 | Josh Downs INDvs TENKicked off | vs TENKicked off | 13.5 | 4.9 | 63 | 0.4 | 30% | 3.8 | 23.7 |
| 19 | Luther Burden III CHI@ ATLKicked off | @ ATLKicked off | 13.3 | 4.5 | 59 | 0.4 | 31% | 3.8 | 23.4 |
| 20 | DeVonta Smith PHIvs CARKicked off | vs CARKicked off | 13.2 | 4.9 | 66 | 0.3 | 23% | 3.7 | 23.3 |
| 21 | Jalen Coker CAR@ PHIKicked off | @ PHIKicked off | 13.0 | 4.8 | 64 | 0.3 | 25% | 3.6 | 23.2 |
| 22 | A.J. Brown NEvs NYJKicked off | vs NYJKicked off | 12.6 | 3.9 | 59 | 0.5 | 37% | 3.5 | 22.6 |
| 23 | Xavier Worthy KCvs LACKicked off | vs LACKicked off | 12.5 | 4.4 | 55 | 0.4 | 35% | 3.5 | 22.6 |
| 24 | Keenan Allen INDvs TENKicked off | vs TENKicked off | 12.0 | 4.8 | 54 | 0.3 | 26% | 3.4 | 21.9 |
| 25 | DK Metcalf PIT@ TBKicked off | @ TBKicked off | 11.8 | 4.0 | 57 | 0.3 | 29% | 3.3 | 21.7 |
| 26 | Carnell Tate TEN@ INDKicked off | @ INDKicked off | 11.7 | 4.4 | 57 | 0.2 | 22% | 3.3 | 21.5 |
| 27 | Khalil Shakir BUF@ LVKicked off | @ LVKicked off | 11.4 | 4.3 | 52 | 0.3 | 27% | 3.3 | 21.2 |
| 28 | Denzel Boston CLEvs BALKicked off | vs BALKicked off | 11.2 | 3.5 | 58 | 0.3 | 26% | 3.2 | 21.0 |
| 29 | Jaylen Waddle DENvs SEAKicked off | vs SEAKicked off | 11.2 | 4.3 | 53 | 0.3 | 23% | 3.2 | 20.9 |
| 30 | Stefon Diggs WAS@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET | @ SFMon 8:15 PM ET | 11.0 | 4.2 | 48 | 0.3 | 27% | 3.2 | 20.7 |
| 31 | Terry McLaurin WAS@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET | @ SFMon 8:15 PM ET | 10.9 | 3.7 | 52 | 0.3 | 28% | 3.2 | 20.6 |
| 32 | Devaughn Vele NO@ NYGKicked off | @ NYGKicked off | 10.6 | 4.2 | 49 | 0.2 | 21% | 3.0 | 20.4 |
| 33 | Germie Bernard PIT@ TBKicked off | @ TBKicked off | 10.5 | 4.2 | 48 | 0.2 | 20% | 3.0 | 20.3 |
| 34 | Rome Odunze CHI@ ATLKicked off | @ ATLKicked off | 10.4 | 3.1 | 49 | 0.4 | 32% | 2.9 | 20.3 |
| 35 | KC Concepcion CLEvs BALKicked off | vs BALKicked off | 10.2 | 4.4 | 44 | 0.2 | 19% | 2.8 | 20.1 |
| 36 | Wan'Dale Robinson TEN@ INDKicked off | @ INDKicked off | 10.0 | 4.4 | 45 | 0.2 | 16% | 2.7 | 20.0 |
| 37 | Ladd McConkey LAC@ KCKicked off | @ KCKicked off | 9.5 | 3.5 | 48 | 0.2 | 17% | 2.5 | 19.7 |
| 38 | Tre Tucker LVvs BUFKicked off | vs BUFKicked off | 9.5 | 3.5 | 45 | 0.2 | 21% | 2.5 | 19.7 |
| 39 | Keon Coleman BUF@ LVKicked off | @ LVKicked off | 9.4 | 3.3 | 45 | 0.2 | 23% | 2.4 | 19.6 |
| 40 | Emeka Egbuka TBvs PITKicked off | vs PITKicked off | 9.4 | 3.7 | 42 | 0.2 | 21% | 2.4 | 19.6 |
| 41 | Courtland Sutton DENvs SEAKicked off | vs SEAKicked off | 8.4 | 3.1 | 36 | 0.2 | 23% | 1.7 | 18.1 |
| 42 | Jakobi Meyers JAXvs HOUKicked off | vs HOUKicked off | 8.4 | 3.2 | 39 | 0.2 | 18% | 1.7 | 18.1 |
| 43 | Ryan Flournoy DAL@ GBKicked off | @ GBKicked off | 8.2 | 3.2 | 36 | 0.2 | 19% | 1.6 | 17.8 |
| 44 | Quentin Johnston LAC@ KCKicked off | @ KCKicked off | 8.0 | 2.7 | 41 | 0.2 | 17% | 1.4 | 17.4 |
| 45 | Romeo Doubs NEvs NYJKicked off | vs NYJKicked off | 7.8 | 2.6 | 36 | 0.2 | 23% | 1.3 | 17.1 |
| 46 | Kendrick Bourne ARI@ LAKicked off | @ LAKicked off | 7.4 | 3.1 | 35 | 0.1 | 11% | 1.1 | 16.7 |
| 47 | Chris Godwin Jr. TBvs PITKicked off | vs PITKicked off | 7.2 | 3.3 | 30 | 0.1 | 13% | 1.0 | 16.5 |
| 48 | Kalif Raymond CHI@ ATLKicked off | @ ATLKicked off | 7.2 | 2.9 | 31 | 0.2 | 17% | 0.9 | 16.4 |
| 49 | Dontayvion Wicks PHIvs CARKicked off | vs CARKicked off | 7.1 | 2.7 | 35 | 0.1 | 13% | 0.9 | 16.3 |
| 50 | Laquon Treadwell INDvs TENKicked off | vs TENKicked off | 6.7 | 2.4 | 33 | 0.1 | 13% | 0.0 | 15.8 |
| 51 | Jalen Royals KCvs LACKicked off | vs LACKicked off | 6.0 | 2.2 | 28 | 0.1 | 14% | 0.0 | 14.7 |
| 52 | Cooper Kupp SEA@ DENKicked off | @ DENKicked off | 5.8 | 2.3 | 25 | 0.1 | 14% | 0.0 | 14.3 |
| 53 | Rashid Shaheed SEA@ DENKicked off | @ DENKicked off | 5.8 | 2.0 | 26 | 0.2 | 15% | 0.0 | 14.3 |
| 54 | Jahan Dotson ATLvs CHIKicked off | vs CHIKicked off | 5.8 | 1.9 | 27 | 0.2 | 16% | 0.0 | 14.2 |
| 55 | Malachi Fields NYGvs NOKicked off | vs NOKicked off | 5.6 | 1.9 | 27 | 0.1 | 14% | 0.0 | 13.9 |
| 56 | Antonio Williams WAS@ SFMon 8:15 PM ET | @ SFMon 8:15 PM ET | 5.5 | 2.3 | 24 | 0.1 | 13% | 0.0 | 13.7 |
| 57 | Jalen Nailor LVvs BUFKicked off | vs BUFKicked off | 5.5 | 2.2 | 23 | 0.1 | 14% | 0.0 | 13.6 |
| 58 | Marvin Harrison Jr. HOU @ JAXKicked off | HOU @ JAXKicked off | 5.4 | 1.9 | 26 | 0.1 | 13% | 0.0 | 13.4 |
| 59 | DeMario Douglas NEvs NYJKicked off | vs NYJKicked off | 5.3 | 2.0 | 24 | 0.1 | 13% | 0.0 | 13.4 |
| 60 | Kayshon Boutte HOU@ JAXKicked off | @ JAXKicked off | 5.3 | 2.0 | 26 | 0.1 | 10% | 0.0 | 13.4 |
| 61 | Josh Palmer BUF@ LVKicked off | @ LVKicked off | 5.3 | 1.6 | 24 | 0.2 | 18% | 0.0 | 13.3 |
| 62 | Makai Lemon PHIvs CARKicked off | vs CARKicked off | 5.3 | 2.4 | 23 | 0.1 | 9% | 0.0 | 13.3 |
| 63 | Rashod Bateman BAL@ CLEKicked off | @ CLEKicked off | 5.0 | 1.9 | 22 | 0.1 | 12% | 0.0 | 12.2 |
| 64 | Darnell Mooney NYGvs NOKicked off | vs NOKicked off | 4.9 | 1.9 | 23 | 0.1 | 10% | 0.0 | 12.1 |
| 65 | Jalen Brooks ARI@ LAKicked off | @ LAKicked off | 4.9 | 1.9 | 23 | 0.1 | 10% | 0.0 | 12.0 |
| 66 | Brian Thomas Jr. JAXvs HOUKicked off | vs HOUKicked off | 4.6 | 1.7 | 20 | 0.1 | 13% | 0.0 | 11.1 |
| 67 | Jaylin Noel HOU@ JAXKicked off | @ JAXKicked off | 4.5 | 1.8 | 20 | 0.1 | 10% | 0.0 | 10.5 |
| 68 | Troy Franklin DENvs SEAKicked off | vs SEAKicked off | 4.4 | 1.8 | 19 | 0.1 | 10% | 0.0 | 10.3 |
| 69 | Tim Patrick NYJ@ NEKicked off | @ NEKicked off | 4.1 | 1.6 | 19 | 0.1 | 8% | 0.0 | 9.2 |
| 70 | Josh Cameron JAXvs HOUKicked off | vs HOUKicked off | 4.0 | 1.6 | 18 | 0.1 | 9% | 0.0 | 9.1 |
| 71 | Jerry Jeudy CLEvs BALKicked off | vs BALKicked off | 4.0 | 1.5 | 19 | 0.1 | 8% | 0.0 | 9.1 |
| 72 | Elic Ayomanor TEN@ INDKicked off | @ INDKicked off | 3.9 | 1.4 | 17 | 0.1 | 11% | 0.0 | 9.0 |
| 73 | Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ@ NEKicked off | @ NEKicked off | 3.9 | 1.5 | 17 | 0.1 | 10% | 0.0 | 9.0 |
| 74 | Xavier Hutchinson HOU@ JAXKicked off | @ JAXKicked off | 3.8 | 1.6 | 16 | 0.1 | 8% | 0.0 | 9.0 |
| 75 | Bryce Lance NO@ NYGKicked off | @ NYGKicked off | 3.7 | 1.5 | 15 | 0.1 | 10% | 0.0 | 8.9 |
| 76 | Cody White LVvs BUFKicked off | vs BUFKicked off | 3.5 | 1.4 | 15 | 0.1 | 8% | 0.0 | 8.7 |
| 77 | Brycen Tremayne CAR@ PHIKicked off | @ PHIKicked off | 3.5 | 1.5 | 15 | 0.1 | 6% | 0.0 | 8.7 |
| 78 | Efton Chism III NEvs NYJKicked off | vs NYJKicked off | 3.5 | 1.4 | 13 | 0.1 | 10% | 0.0 | 8.7 |
| 79 | Ted Hurst III TBvs PITKicked off | vs PITKicked off | 3.4 | 1.2 | 14 | 0.1 | 11% | 0.0 | 8.7 |
| 80 | Calvin Ridley TEN@ INDKicked off | @ INDKicked off | 3.4 | 1.4 | 15 | 0.1 | 8% | 0.0 | 8.6 |
| 81 | Cyrus Allen KCvs LACKicked off | vs LACKicked off | 3.3 | 1.3 | 14 | 0.1 | 8% | 0.0 | 8.6 |
| 82 | Ja'Kobi Lane BAL@ CLEKicked off | @ CLEKicked off | 3.2 | 1.4 | 11 | 0.1 | 9% | 0.0 | 8.5 |
| 83 | Zachariah Branch ATLvs CHIKicked off | vs CHIKicked off | 3.1 | 1.4 | 11 | 0.1 | 8% | 0.0 | 8.4 |
| 84 | Zavion Thomas CHI est@ ATLKicked off | @ ATLKicked off | 2.8 | 1.1 | 13 | 0.0 | 4% | 0.0 | 9.0 |
| 85 | Marvin Mims Jr. DENvs SEAKicked off | vs SEAKicked off | 2.8 | 1.3 | 10 | 0.1 | 6% | 0.0 | 8.2 |
| 86 | Bo Melton GBvs DALKicked off | vs DALKicked off | 2.6 | 0.9 | 10 | 0.1 | 11% | 0.0 | 8.0 |
| 87 | KaVontae Turpin DAL@ GBKicked off | @ GBKicked off | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.1 | 8% | 0.0 | 7.4 |
| 88 | Savion Williams GBvs DALKicked off | vs DALKicked off | 1.7 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.1 | 8% | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| 89 | Lil'Jordan Humphrey DENvs SEAKicked off | vs SEAKicked off | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 0.0 | 4% | 0.0 | 7.0 |
| 90 | Tory Horton SEA@ DENKicked off | @ DENKicked off | 1.5 | 0.7 | 3 | 0.1 | 6% | 0.0 | 6.9 |
| 91 | Travis Hunter JAXvs HOUKicked off | vs HOUKicked off | 1.2 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.0 | 3% | 0.0 | 6.5 |
No player on this tab matches. Try another position.
Projected points use the scoring picked above. Dark numbers come from Las Vegas lines. Grey numbers are FantasySense's own, not the books': a stat no line priced is the usual figure for the position. A player tagged est (1 here) has no yardage line yet, so his projection, floor and ceiling are FantasySense's, from his own recent games and the books' touchdown price where there is one. The Las Vegas projection replaces it the moment his line posts. Floor and ceiling: about one week in ten a player scores less than his floor, and about one in ten more than his ceiling.
14 drafted players without a number for week 6, most drafted first: on bye, or left out by the books of a game they have priced, which usually means an injury question. Players whose lines are simply not up yet are in the table above with an early estimate, and this page updates every day from Thursday to Sunday.
13 drafted players not playing in week 6, most drafted first: on injured reserve or another reserve list, on the exempt list, suspended or on no team's roster, out or doubtful on this week's official injury report, or ruled out by his team before the report says so. A player out last week stays here until his team files this week's report, or he practises again.
Sportsbooks post an over/under line for each player's yards and catches, and a price on whether he scores. The lines move through the week as news comes in.
I take the consensus across US sportsbooks, turn each line into an expected stat line, and score it under the scoring you pick above. A player is ranked on the books' numbers once they have posted the line his position depends on: passing yards for a quarterback, rushing yards for a running back, and receiving yards for a receiver or tight end.
Most yardage lines go up a day or two before kickoff, so early in the week many drafted players have only a touchdown price, or nothing yet. Rather than leave them off the table, I give each one an early estimate, marked est: his own per-game figures so far (this season first, last season at a lower weight), pulled toward what a player drafted where he was usually does. Where the books have priced his touchdown, that price scales the estimate up or down. The moment his yardage line posts, the estimate goes and the Vegas projection takes its place.
Checked on 2025, the estimate ran about 0.2 points a game less accurate than the Vegas number it stands in for, and far better than leaving the player unranked. A player the books have left out of a game they have priced is not estimated: that silence almost always means he is hurt.
Players who are known to be out are listed separately under Out: anyone on injured reserve or another reserve list, on the exempt list, suspended or on no team's roster, and anyone ruled out or doubtful on his team's official injury report for the week. Because the reports lag the news, a player whose team has already said he will miss games is added by hand, marked "per team news", through the week he is expected back. A player ruled out last week stays there until his team's next report, or until he practises again.
The two columns on the right show a bad week and a big week. In about one week in ten, a player scores less than his floor, and in about one in ten, more than his ceiling. A floor of 0 means a scoreless week is a real possibility. Both assume he plays.
They come from how real games turned out: about 12,000 player-games from 2023 to 2025, each compared with its Vegas projection. When I checked the ranges on seasons they were not built from, about 1 player in 10 beat his ceiling, and about 1 in 10 of those with a floor above zero fell short of it.
The numbers refresh around noon Eastern every day from Thursday to Sunday, and three more times on Friday and Saturday afternoons and evenings. Every game also gets a last update in the hour before kickoff, after the teams name their inactive players, and keeps it. There is no update on Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday, apart from the one before Monday night's game, because the books have not yet posted lines for most of the coming week's games. Kickers and team defenses are not ranked yet.
Player lines: The Odds API. Schedules, rosters and injury reports: nflverse. Drafted-player list: Fantasy Football Calculator. FantasySense does not take bets or send anyone to a sportsbook.